Abstract

BAMPI, Sílvia Letícia; ZAGO DE AZEVEDO, André Filipe  and  DOS REIS, Magnus. O comércio inexplorado entre Brasil e Asia: uma abordagem através do modelo gravitacional. Estud. Econ. [online]. 2020, vol.37, n.75, pp. 51-73. ISSN 2525-1295.

The present study aimed to estimate Brazil's potential trade with the Asian continent from 2000 to 2014, using a sample of 75 countries. To avoid problems observed in previous studies, the gravitational equation was estimated using the Poisson Pseudo Maximum Likelihood Estimator (PPML), calculating the confidence interval of the coefficients with the Delta method. The model was based on panel data with two sets of fixed effects. In absolute terms, there would be a potential for expansion of Brazilian trade with selected Asian countries of US$ 5645 million, equivalent to 7.6% of the average annual trade observed in the period 2000-2014.

Keywords : International Trade; Gravity Model; Asia; Brazil.